Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.5#12
Expected Predictive Rating+17.7#6
Pace72.1#88
Improvement+0.5#161

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#29
First Shot+5.4#37
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#84
Layup/Dunks+1.8#102
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#134
Freethrows+0.9#107
Improvement+2.3#80

Defense
Total Defense+7.9#13
First Shot+6.9#12
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#86
Layups/Dunks+2.7#66
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#13
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#123
Freethrows+0.7#136
Improvement-1.8#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 20.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 70.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round88.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen53.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight28.4% n/a n/a
Final Four12.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.0% n/a n/a
National Champion2.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 13 - 1
Quad 1b3 - 26 - 3
Quad 28 - 214 - 5
Quad 38 - 022 - 5
Quad 44 - 026 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 104   @ Pittsburgh L 61-63 74%     0 - 1 +5.7 -2.2 +7.7
  Nov 10, 2019 32   @ Florida W 63-51 47%     1 - 1 +27.3 +2.4 +26.0
  Nov 15, 2019 155   Western Carolina W 79-74 93%     2 - 1 +2.9 -0.1 +2.8
  Nov 20, 2019 143   Chattanooga W 89-53 92%     3 - 1 +34.5 +11.2 +22.6
  Nov 23, 2019 181   St. Francis (PA) W 80-65 95%     4 - 1 +11.2 -1.3 +12.0
  Nov 25, 2019 353   Chicago St. W 113-56 99.8%    5 - 1 +30.9 +19.0 +8.0
  Nov 29, 2019 61   Tennessee W 60-57 73%     6 - 1 +11.3 -9.1 +20.4
  Nov 30, 2019 24   Purdue W 63-60 OT 56%     7 - 1 +16.1 -5.6 +21.5
  Dec 03, 2019 34   @ Indiana L 64-80 50%     7 - 2 -1.5 +0.4 -2.1
  Dec 08, 2019 67   Clemson W 72-53 82%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +23.7 +11.2 +14.4
  Dec 17, 2019 164   North Florida W 98-81 94%     9 - 2 +14.4 +11.7 +1.7
  Dec 21, 2019 115   South Florida W 66-60 84%     10 - 2 +9.9 -2.4 +12.3
  Dec 28, 2019 283   North Alabama W 88-71 98%     11 - 2 +7.2 +8.5 -1.9
  Dec 31, 2019 58   Georgia Tech W 70-58 80%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +17.5 +4.0 +13.6
  Jan 04, 2020 11   @ Louisville W 78-65 37%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +30.9 +19.1 +12.7
  Jan 08, 2020 94   @ Wake Forest W 78-68 72%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +18.3 +5.7 +12.4
  Jan 15, 2020 40   Virginia W 54-50 75%     15 - 2 5 - 0 +11.4 -1.6 +13.6
  Jan 18, 2020 92   @ Miami (FL) W 83-79 OT 72%     16 - 2 6 - 0 +12.5 +2.9 +9.0
  Jan 25, 2020 51   Notre Dame W 85-84 78%     17 - 2 7 - 0 +7.3 +5.5 +1.7
  Jan 28, 2020 40   @ Virginia L 56-61 54%     17 - 3 7 - 1 +8.5 +3.9 +4.0
  Feb 01, 2020 100   @ Virginia Tech W 74-63 73%     18 - 3 8 - 1 +19.1 +12.0 +7.9
  Feb 03, 2020 68   North Carolina W 65-59 82%     19 - 3 9 - 1 +10.7 -6.7 +17.4
  Feb 08, 2020 92   Miami (FL) W 99-81 87%     20 - 3 10 - 1 +20.4 +15.9 +2.6
  Feb 10, 2020 3   @ Duke L 65-70 28%     20 - 4 10 - 2 +15.7 +1.2 +14.6
  Feb 15, 2020 46   Syracuse W 80-77 77%     21 - 4 11 - 2 +9.9 +6.1 +3.8
  Feb 18, 2020 104   Pittsburgh W 82-67 88%     22 - 4 12 - 2 +16.6 +11.6 +5.2
  Feb 22, 2020 45   @ North Carolina St. W 67-61 56%     23 - 4 13 - 2 +19.0 +7.6 +12.1
  Feb 24, 2020 11   Louisville W 82-67 60%     24 - 4 14 - 2 +26.8 +13.8 +12.9
  Feb 29, 2020 67   @ Clemson L 69-70 64%     24 - 5 14 - 3 +9.7 +6.4 +3.3
  Mar 04, 2020 51   @ Notre Dame W 73-71 59%     25 - 5 15 - 3 +14.3 +7.6 +6.8
  Mar 07, 2020 159   Boston College W 80-62 93%     26 - 5 16 - 3 +15.6 -0.3 +14.0
Projected Record 26 - 5 16 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.1 20.4 50.4 24.7 4.5 0.0
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2.1 20.4 50.4 24.7 4.5 0.0